Saturday 29 October 2016

mca4020 smu mca fall 2016 (jan/feb 2017 exam) IVth sem assignment

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fall 2016 PROGRAM- MCA(REVISED FALL 2012)
SEMESTER- FOURTH
SUBJECT CODE & NAME- MCA4020- PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

Q1.  Three machines A, B and C produce respectively 60%, 30% and 10% of the total number of items of a factory. The percentage of defective output of these machines are respectively 2%, 3% and 4%. An item is selected at random and is found to be defective. Find the probability that the item was produced by machine C.

Solution: Let P(A), P(B) and P(C) denote the probabilities of choosing an item produced by A, B, C respectively. Also, let P(X/A), P(X/B), P(X/C) denote the probabilities of choosing a defective item from the outputs of A, B, C respectively. Then, from what is given, we have

P(A) =
60
= 0.60
P(B) =
30
= 0.30
P(C) =
10
= 0.10






Q3. The data shows the distribution of weight of students of 1st standard of a school. Find the quartiles.

Class Interval
13 - 18
18 - 20
20 - 21
21 – 22
22 - 23
23 - 25
25 – 30














Frequency
22
27
51
42
32

16
10














Solution:





















Class interval

Frequency

Cumulative frequency

















Q4. Fit a trend line to the following data by the freehand method:

Year
Production of wheat
Year
Production of wheat

(in tonnes)

(in tonnes)




1995
20
2000
25




1996
22
2001
23




1997
24
2002
26




1998
21
2003
25




1999
23
2004
24






Solution: Graphical representation of trend line relating to the production of wheat by the method of free hand curve is shown in figure




Q5. Let X be a random variable and its probability mass function is  find the m.g.f. of X and hence its mean and variance.

Solution: By definition,








Q6. The diastolic blood pressures of men are distributed as shown in table. Find the standard deviation and variance.

Pressure(men)
78-80
80-82
82-84
84-86
86-88
88-90







No. of Men
3
15
26
23
9
4








Solution: The table represents the frequency distribution of data required for calculating the standard deviation.

Class
Mid
Frequency
x-83
d = (x-
fd
fd2
Interval
value X
‘f’

83)/2














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